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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 9 Saturday, April 25, 2026 08:00
Caboolture logo Caboolture PPG 1.25
4-2 MISS
Redlands logo Redlands PPG 1.33
Away· +21.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -23.4%
Draw 21.0%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -13.9%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +21.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.3% Odds: 1.30 -3.4%
Over 3.5 54.2% Odds: 1.80 -2.4%
BTTS 73.2% Odds: 1.30 -4.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Caboolture
2.04
Redlands
1.84

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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