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Seoul W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 20 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 10:00

Seoul W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gyeongju W

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-19.6%0-210.0%0-36.9%0-4+5.8%1 1-04.6%1-19.6%1-29.9%1-36.9%1-4+5.8%2 2-02.3%2-14.8%2-24.9%2-33.4%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.8%3-11.6%3-21.6%3-31.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 56.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 55.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob54.5%

A 57% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 0–2 10.0%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.6%

#5 0–3 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W1.0

Gyeongju W2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 1.33

GYEONGJU W · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.09 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyeongju W (A) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Gyeongju W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Gyeongju W 57%, so Gyeongju W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Seoul W and 2.1 for Gyeongju W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.89 for Gyeongju W.

Seoul W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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