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FC Gifu vs Kanazawa Prediction— Japan - J3 League

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 09:00

FC Gifu

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDW ·

UPCOMING

Kanazawa

PPG 0.96 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 58% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a clear edge.

+23.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.1%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.6%1-17.6%1-23.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-19.5%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.8%3-17.8%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-18.8%4+-24.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.1% 54.1% 1.85 +22.3%

Draw 18.4% 32.3% 3.10 -25.8%

Away win 15.5% 28.6% 3.50 -27.5%

Over 2.5 66.8% 54.1% 1.85 +23.6%

Over 3.5 44.9% 35.3% 2.83 +27.1%

BTTS 59.0% 59.9% 1.67 -1.5%

Home O1.5 66.3% 55.2% 1.81 +20.0%

Away O1.5 30.6% 35.8% 2.79 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 55.0%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.0%

H 66% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 9.4%

#3 1–1 7.6%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 3–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Gifu2.5

Kanazawa1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC GIFU · PPG 1.84

KANAZAWA · PPG 0.96

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

58%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Gifu (H) 66.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +22.3%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -25.8%

Kanazawa (A) 15.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -27.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Gifu face Kanazawa in Japan - J3 League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Gifu a 66% chance, the draw 18% and Kanazawa 16%, so FC Gifu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for FC Gifu and 1.0 for Kanazawa (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Gifu are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.96 for Kanazawa. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +52.2%.

FC Gifu vs Kanazawa Prediction— Japan - J3 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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