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Ipswich vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 07:00

Ipswich logo
Ipswich
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
SC Wanderers logo
SC Wanderers
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-19.3%0-24.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.6%1-112.8%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.4%2-18.8%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.0%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.0%
Draw 27.4%
Away win 25.6%
Over 2.5 40.8%
Over 3.5 20.4%
BTTS 45.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -0.9%
Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.5%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.6%
#2 1–1 12.8%
#3 0–0 9.9%
#4 2–0 9.4%
#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich1.4
SC Wanderers0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH · PPG 2.00

SC WANDERERS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich (H) 47.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SC Wanderers (A) 25.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich face SC Wanderers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich a 47% chance, the draw 27% and SC Wanderers 26%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ipswich and 0.9 for SC Wanderers (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for SC Wanderers. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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