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P. Nagano W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 05:00

P. Nagano W

PPG 0.44 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

S. Hiroshima W

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-115.2%0-213.2%0-37.6%0-4+4.9%1 1-06.2%1-110.7%1-29.2%1-35.3%1-4+3.4%2 2-02.2%2-13.7%2-23.2%2-31.9%2-4+1.2%3 3-00.5%3-10.9%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.7% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 62.2% — — —

Over 2.5 43.8% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 41.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob41.4%

A 62% / xG 0.7-1.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.2%

#2 0–2 13.2%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Nagano W0.7

S. Hiroshima W1.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

P. NAGANO W · PPG 0.44

S. HIROSHIMA W · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.44)

Win probability 1X2

P. Nagano W (H) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Hiroshima W (A) 62.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Nagano W face S. Hiroshima W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Nagano W a 15% chance, the draw 23% and S. Hiroshima W 62%, so S. Hiroshima W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for P. Nagano W and 1.7 for S. Hiroshima W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Nagano W are averaging 0.44 points per game versus 1.25 for S. Hiroshima W. This match finished 1-5.

P. Nagano W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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