Today / Venezuela - Primera División / Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 23:00

Caracas FC

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Portuguesa FC

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-19.7%0-26.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.1%1-112.7%1-27.9%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-18.3%2-25.2%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.9%3-13.6%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 51.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 38.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -5.0%

Bet Hit 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.7%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 1–2 7.9%

#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Caracas FC1.3

Portuguesa FC1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CARACAS FC · PPG 1.20

PORTUGUESA FC · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Caracas FC (H) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portuguesa FC (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Caracas FC face Portuguesa FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Caracas FC a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Portuguesa FC 35%, so Caracas FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Caracas FC and 1.3 for Portuguesa FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Caracas FC are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.18 for Portuguesa FC. This match finished 1-1.

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Venezuela - Primera División Predictions