Today / Spanish Town P. vs Molynes Utd

Spanish Town P. vs Molynes Utd Prediction

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Spanish Town P.

PPG 1.13 · HOME

0 – 9

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Molynes Utd

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-19.5%0-28.2%0-34.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.4%1-111.1%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.8%2-16.5%2-25.7%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.6%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 50.3% — — —

Over 2.5 55.5% — — —

Over 3.5 33.1% — — —

BTTS 56.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-9

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob56.9%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–1 9.5%

#4 0–2 8.2%

#5 2–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spanish Town P.1.2

Molynes Utd1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPANISH TOWN P. · PPG 1.13

MOLYNES UTD · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Spanish Town P. (H) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molynes Utd (A) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spanish Town P. face Molynes Utd on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spanish Town P. a 26% chance, the draw 24% and Molynes Utd 50%, so Molynes Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Spanish Town P. and 1.7 for Molynes Utd (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spanish Town P. are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.75 for Molynes Utd. This match finished 0-9.

Spanish Town P. vs Molynes Utd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions