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Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:30

Austria Vienna

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWL ·

UPCOMING

WSG Wattens

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.9%0-25.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.0%1-111.6%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.4%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.8%3-14.1%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 52.6% 1.90 -25.7%

Draw 24.3% 27.8% 3.60 -7.5%

Away win 36.5% 26.7% 3.75 +36.9%

Over 2.5 59.6% 55.6% 1.80 +7.3%

Over 3.5 36.4% 33.3% 3.00 +9.2%

BTTS 61.5% 59.9% 1.67 +2.7%

Home O1.5 39.9% 54.1% 1.85 -26.2%

Away O1.5 42.2% 34.7% 2.88 +21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.0%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Vienna1.5

WSG Wattens1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA VIENNA · PPG 1.15

WSG WATTENS · PPG 1.21

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Austria Vienna (H) 39.1%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -25.7%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.5%

WSG Wattens (A) 36.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +36.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Vienna face WSG Wattens in Austria - Bundesliga on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Vienna a 39% chance, the draw 24% and WSG Wattens 37%, so Austria Vienna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Austria Vienna and 1.4 for WSG Wattens (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Vienna are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.21 for WSG Wattens. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +24.2%.

Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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