Today / Austria - Bundesliga / TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga
Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%
Form & verdict
TSV HARTBERG · PPG 1.01
AUSTRIA VIENNA · PPG 1.32
xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
TSV Hartberg face Austria Vienna in Austria - Bundesliga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV Hartberg a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Austria Vienna 28%, so TSV Hartberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for TSV Hartberg and 1.1 for Austria Vienna (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV Hartberg are averaging 1.01 points per game versus 1.32 for Austria Vienna. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.1%.