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Lask Linz vs SCR Altach Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:30

Lask Linz

PPG 2.19 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

SCR Altach

PPG 0.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.4%0-22.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.8%1-110.3%1-24.5%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.1%3-16.3%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-14.6%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.5% 71.4% 1.40 -20.9%

Draw 22.2% 21.7% 4.60 +1.3%

Away win 21.4% 14.3% 7.00 +29.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 62.5% 1.60 -14.4%

Over 3.5 32.4% 40.0% 2.50 -19.0%

BTTS 52.7% 57.1% 1.75 -7.8%

Home O1.5 56.3% 69.0% 1.45 -18.4%

Away O1.5 25.4% 25.3% 3.95 +0.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.7%

H 56% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lask Linz1.9

SCR Altach0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LASK LINZ · PPG 2.19

SCR ALTACH · PPG 0.72

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lask Linz (H) 56.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -20.9%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +1.3%

SCR Altach (A) 21.4%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +29.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lask Linz face SCR Altach in Austria - Bundesliga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lask Linz a 56% chance, the draw 22% and SCR Altach 21%, so Lask Linz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lask Linz and 0.9 for SCR Altach (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lask Linz are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 0.72 for SCR Altach. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +19.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Lask Linz vs SCR Altach Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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