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SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

SCR Altach

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

TSV Hartberg

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 51.2% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-19.0%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.4%1-112.3%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-18.4%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.1%3-13.9%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 54.1% 1.85 -5.3%

Draw 26.3% 28.6% 3.50 -4.8%

Away win 22.6% 23.8% 4.20 -3.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 54.1% 1.85 -21.0%

Over 3.5 20.6% 30.8% 3.25 -19.8%

BTTS 47.6% 57.8% 1.73 -17.6%

Home O1.5 37.8% 54.1% 1.85 -30.1%

Away O1.5 17.9% 31.3% 3.20 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

H 51% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 0–0 12.0%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SCR Altach1.4

TSV Hartberg0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SCR ALTACH · PPG 1.96

TSV HARTBERG · PPG 1.28

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SCR Altach (H) 51.2%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -5.3%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -4.8%

TSV Hartberg (A) 22.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

SCR Altach face TSV Hartberg in Austria - Bundesliga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SCR Altach a 51% chance, the draw 26% and TSV Hartberg 23%, so SCR Altach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for SCR Altach and 0.8 for TSV Hartberg (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SCR Altach are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 1.28 for TSV Hartberg. This match finished 1-2.

SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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