Today / Austria - Bundesliga / Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz

Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Matchday 4 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 17:30

Wolfsberger AC

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lask Linz

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.4%0-27.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.2%1-112.6%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.6%2-17.6%2-25.2%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.3%3-13.1%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 23.8% 4.20 +29.4%

Draw 24.3% 26.0% 3.85 -3.9%

Away win 45.0% 57.1% 1.75 -21.3%

Over 2.5 52.4% 64.5% 1.55 -18.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 42.6% 2.35 -25.7%

BTTS 52.9% 66.7% 1.50 -20.6%

Home O1.5 33.2% 38.2% 2.62 -13.0%

Away O1.5 42.2% 62.5% 1.60 -32.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.9%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 0–2 7.1%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolfsberger AC1.2

Lask Linz1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLFSBERGER AC · PPG 1.64

LASK LINZ · PPG 1.78

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wolfsberger AC (H) 30.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +29.4%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -3.9%

Lask Linz (A) 45.0%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolfsberger AC face Lask Linz in Austria - Bundesliga on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolfsberger AC a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Lask Linz 45%, so Lask Linz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.4 for Lask Linz (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolfsberger AC are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.78 for Lask Linz. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz Prediction— Austria - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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