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P-Iirot vs ÅIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:00

P-Iirot

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

ÅIFK

PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-110.1%0-26.9%0-33.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.2%1-112.5%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.7%2-17.8%2-25.3%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.4%3-13.2%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 38.2% 2.62 -6.5%

Draw 25.0% 27.0% 3.70 -4.5%

Away win 39.3% 46.5% 2.15 -15.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 63.7% 1.57 -15.5%

Over 3.5 31.7% 42.0% 2.38 -24.6%

BTTS 55.9% 65.4% 1.53 -14.5%

Home O1.5 35.1% 47.6% 2.10 -26.3%

Away O1.5 42.2% 54.6% 1.83 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.9%

A 39% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P-Iirot1.2

ÅIFK1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

P-IIROT · PPG 2.33

ÅIFK · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

P-Iirot (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -6.5%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.5%

ÅIFK (A) 39.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

P-Iirot face ÅIFK in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P-Iirot a 36% chance, the draw 25% and ÅIFK 39%, so ÅIFK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for P-Iirot and 1.4 for ÅIFK (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P-Iirot are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.56 for ÅIFK. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.1%.

P-Iirot vs ÅIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

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