Today / Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 / Benfica U23 vs Academico Viseu U23

Benfica U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Prediction— Portugal - Liga Revelação U23

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:00

Benfica U23

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

UPCOMING

Academico Viseu U23

PPG 2.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 61.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-18.7%0-26.8%0-33.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.4%1-111.6%1-29.0%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-17.6%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 34.5% 2.90 -10.7%

Draw 24.3% 29.4% 3.40 -10.4%

Away win 45.0% 47.6% 2.10 -5.5%

Over 2.5 54.8% 55.6% 1.80 -1.4%

Over 3.5 34.6% 34.2% 2.92 +1.0%

BTTS 55.9% 61.3% 1.63 -8.9%

Home O1.5 38.5% 41.7% 2.40 -7.6%

Away O1.5 47.9% 46.1% 2.17 +3.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.9%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–1 8.7%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Benfica U231.3

Academico Viseu U231.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BENFICA U23 · PPG 1.73

ACADEMICO VISEU U23 · PPG 2.02

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Benfica U23 (H) 30.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.7%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.4%

Academico Viseu U23 (A) 45.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Benfica U23 face Academico Viseu U23 in Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Benfica U23 a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Academico Viseu U23 45%, so Academico Viseu U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Benfica U23 and 1.6 for Academico Viseu U23 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Benfica U23 are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 2.02 for Academico Viseu U23. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.8%.

Benfica U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Prediction— Portugal - Liga Revelação U23

Match Preview & Prediction

More Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 Predictions