Today / Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 / Vizela U23 vs Santa Clara U23

Vizela U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Prediction— Portugal - Liga Revelação U23

Matchday 4 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 10:00

Vizela U23

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Santa Clara U23

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.6%0-25.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.0%1-28.2%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-18.4%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.9%3-13.9%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 35.7% 2.80 +1.6%

Draw 26.5% 29.9% 3.35 -6.7%

Away win 37.2% 44.4% 2.25 -16.3%

Over 2.5 51.5% 56.5% 1.77 -8.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 33.9% 2.95 -6.8%

BTTS 53.2% 62.5% 1.60 -14.9%

Home O1.5 39.8% 42.6% 2.35 -6.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 48.8% 2.05 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.2%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 0–0 6.3%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vizela U231.4

Santa Clara U231.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIZELA U23 · PPG 1.37

SANTA CLARA U23 · PPG 1.48

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vizela U23 (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +1.6%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.7%

Santa Clara U23 (A) 37.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -16.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vizela U23 face Santa Clara U23 in Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vizela U23 a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Santa Clara U23 37%, so Santa Clara U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vizela U23 and 1.4 for Santa Clara U23 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vizela U23 are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.48 for Santa Clara U23. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +2.9%.

Vizela U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Prediction— Portugal - Liga Revelação U23

Match Preview & Prediction

More Portugal - Liga Revelação U23 Predictions