Today / Bulgaria - Second League / Yantra 2019 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Yantra 2019 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad Prediction— Bulgaria - Second League

Matchday 7 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:00

Yantra 2019 logo
Yantra 2019
PPG 1.84 · HOME
LAST 5
LWWWD
VS
UPCOMING
Pirin Blagoevgrad logo
Pirin Blagoevgrad
PPG 0.71 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLLLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 74.8% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.8%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.7%1-17.1%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-19.0%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.4%3-17.6%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.0%4+-18.8%4+-23.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 74.8% 85.5% 1.17 -12.5%
Draw 16.9% 15.4% 6.50 +5.9%
Away win 8.3% 9.1% 11.00 -5.2%
Over 2.5 63.7% 66.7% 1.50 -4.5%
Over 3.5 40.2% 44.2% 2.26 -9.2%
BTTS 50.8% 43.7% 2.29 +16.3%
Home O1.5 66.3% 78.1% 1.28 -15.1%
Away O1.5 18.8% 13.5% 7.40 +23.5%

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -20.0%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob50.8%

H 75% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%
#2 3–0 10.4%
#3 2–1 9.0%
#4 1–0 9.7%
#5 1–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yantra 20192.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

YANTRA 2019 · PPG 1.84

PIRIN BLAGOEVGRAD · PPG 0.71

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.80 for Home, form 1.84 vs 0.71 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Yantra 2019 (H) 74.8%
ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -12.5%
Draw 16.9%
ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +5.9%
Pirin Blagoevgrad (A) 8.3%
ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV -5.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yantra 2019 face Pirin Blagoevgrad in Bulgaria - Second League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yantra 2019 a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 8%, so Yantra 2019 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Yantra 2019 and 0.7 for Pirin Blagoevgrad (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yantra 2019 are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.71 for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +49.0%.

PredictVantage

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