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ZOB Ahan vs Paykan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 5 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 14:30

ZOB Ahan

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDD ·

UPCOMING

Paykan

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWD ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-113.5%0-24.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.1%1-112.5%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.8%2-15.8%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-11.8%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 35.0% 2.86 +12.4%

Draw 32.2% 37.6% 2.66 -14.3%

Away win 28.5% 38.5% 2.60 -15.5%

Over 2.5 34.6% 31.3% 3.20 +10.7%

Over 3.5 16.4% 14.9% 6.70 +5.9%

BTTS 42.4% 40.0% 2.50 +6.0%

Home O1.5 30.8% 24.7% 4.05 +24.7%

Away O1.5 18.6% 27.5% 3.64 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.4%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.6%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 0–1 13.5%

#4 1–1 12.5%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ZOB Ahan0.9

Paykan0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 16.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZOB AHAN · PPG 1.22

PAYKAN · PPG 1.23

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.27, combined xG 1.58 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

ZOB Ahan (H) 39.3%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV +12.4%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -14.3%

Paykan (A) 28.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

ZOB Ahan face Paykan in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ZOB Ahan a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Paykan 28%, so ZOB Ahan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for ZOB Ahan and 0.7 for Paykan (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ZOB Ahan are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.23 for Paykan. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +24.7%.

ZOB Ahan vs Paykan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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