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Chadormalu SC vs Tractor Sazi Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:30

Chadormalu SC

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLD

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Tractor Sazi

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-120.3%0-211.6%0-34.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.4%1-111.9%1-26.8%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-03.0%2-13.5%2-22.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.6%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.4% 22.2% 4.50 -13.0%

Draw 28.7% 31.3% 3.20 -4.9%

Away win 53.9% 56.5% 1.77 -4.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 40.8% 2.45 -14.2%

Over 3.5 18.0% 22.2% 4.50 -11.4%

BTTS 42.6% 46.5% 2.15 -8.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 22.2% 4.50 +39.1%

Away O1.5 33.0% 46.5% 2.15 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob42.6%

A 54% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 20.3%

#2 0–0 17.7%

#3 0–2✓ 11.6%

#4 1–1 11.9%

#5 1–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chadormalu SC0.6

Tractor Sazi1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CHADORMALU SC · PPG 1.61

TRACTOR SAZI · PPG 1.67

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Chadormalu SC (H) 17.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -13.0%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.9%

Tractor Sazi (A) 53.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chadormalu SC face Tractor Sazi in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chadormalu SC a 17% chance, the draw 29% and Tractor Sazi 54%, so Tractor Sazi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Chadormalu SC and 1.1 for Tractor Sazi (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chadormalu SC are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.67 for Tractor Sazi. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +39.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Chadormalu SC vs Tractor Sazi Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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