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Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad FC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 5 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 15:00

Kheybar Khorramabad

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLD ·

UPCOMING

Foolad FC

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWD ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-113.9%0-27.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.4%2-16.6%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 38.5% 2.60 -10.3%

Draw 28.4% 34.5% 2.90 -10.6%

Away win 37.0% 37.0% 2.70 -0.1%

Over 2.5 42.7% 37.0% 2.70 +15.3%

Over 3.5 22.3% 19.4% 5.15 +8.9%

BTTS 49.1% 46.5% 2.15 +5.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 32.3% 3.10 -4.5%

Away O1.5 31.9% 31.3% 3.20 +2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.9%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kheybar Khorramabad1.0

Foolad FC1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KHEYBAR KHORRAMABAD · PPG 1.21

FOOLAD FC · PPG 1.49

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.05, combined xG 2.00 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kheybar Khorramabad (H) 34.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -10.3%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.6%

Foolad FC (A) 37.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -0.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kheybar Khorramabad face Foolad FC in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kheybar Khorramabad a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Foolad FC 37%, so Foolad FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kheybar Khorramabad and 1.0 for Foolad FC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kheybar Khorramabad are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.49 for Foolad FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad FC Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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