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Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Fajr Sepasi

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWD ·

0 – 0

FULL TIME

ZOB Ahan

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDD ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-110.9%0-23.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-112.3%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.8%2-16.9%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-12.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 51.3% 1.95 -11.3%

Draw 31.5% 32.8% 3.05 -3.9%

Away win 23.0% 25.0% 4.00 -4.8%

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 42.9% — — —

Home O1.5 31.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.9%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.3%

#2 0–0✓ 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fajr Sepasi1.1

ZOB Ahan0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FAJR SEPASI · PPG 1.54

ZOB AHAN · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 1.77 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fajr Sepasi (H) 45.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -11.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -3.9%

ZOB Ahan (A) 23.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fajr Sepasi face ZOB Ahan in Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fajr Sepasi a 46% chance, the draw 32% and ZOB Ahan 23%, so Fajr Sepasi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fajr Sepasi and 0.6 for ZOB Ahan (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fajr Sepasi are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.78 for ZOB Ahan. This match finished 0-0.

Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan Prediction— Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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