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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Metalourg Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 19 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 13:00

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Metalourg

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.7%0-26.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.6%1-111.7%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-17.8%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.3%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 45.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.4% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 39.0% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–1 8.7%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olimpik-Mobiuz1.3

Metalourg1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.88

METALOURG · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

56%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Olimpik-Mobiuz (H) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Metalourg (A) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpik-Mobiuz face Metalourg in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpik-Mobiuz a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Metalourg 45%, so Metalourg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Olimpik-Mobiuz and 1.5 for Metalourg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpik-Mobiuz are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.67 for Metalourg. This match finished 2-3.

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Metalourg Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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