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Lochin vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 12:30

Lochin

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yaypan

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.3%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.3%1-17.9%1-23.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.1%2-19.6%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.7%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-18.3%4+-23.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.3% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 16.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.4% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 63% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 7.9%

#4 3–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lochin2.4

Yaypan0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LOCHIN · PPG 1.60

YAYPAN · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.47 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lochin (H) 63.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yaypan (A) 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lochin face Yaypan in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lochin a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Yaypan 16%, so Lochin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Lochin and 0.9 for Yaypan (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lochin are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Yaypan.

Lochin vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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