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Pakhtakor II vs Lochin Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Pakhtakor II

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lochin

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.63 for Away, form 0.00 vs 1.86

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-112.1%0-213.9%0-310.6%0-4+10.3%1 1-03.5%1-17.9%1-29.0%1-36.9%1-4+6.7%2 2-01.1%2-12.6%2-22.9%2-32.2%2-4+2.2%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 67.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob53.1%

A 67% / xG 0.7-2.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.9%

#2 0–1 12.1%

#3 0–3 10.6%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pakhtakor II0.7

Lochin2.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PAKHTAKOR II · PPG 0.00

LOCHIN · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.63 for Away, form 0.00 vs 1.86

Win probability 1X2

Pakhtakor II (H) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lochin (A) 67.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pakhtakor II face Lochin in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pakhtakor II a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Lochin 67%, so Lochin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pakhtakor II and 2.3 for Lochin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pakhtakor II are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Lochin.

Pakhtakor II vs Lochin Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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