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Jayxun vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 17 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 12:30

Jayxun

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Yaypan

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.5%0-25.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.0%1-112.7%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-18.6%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 45.5% 2.20 -15.5%

Draw 26.6% 29.4% 3.40 -5.7%

Away win 34.9% 36.4% 2.75 -4.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 55.6% 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 28.7% 35.3% 2.83 -11.3%

BTTS 52.7% 62.1% 1.61 -15.2%

Home O1.5 37.9% 47.6% 2.10 -20.4%

Away O1.5 33.0% 41.7% 2.40 -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.7%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 11.0%

#3 0–0 8.2%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jayxun1.3

Yaypan1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JAYXUN · PPG 1.00

YAYPAN · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jayxun (H) 38.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -15.5%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.7%

Yaypan (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jayxun face Yaypan in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jayxun a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Yaypan 35%, so Jayxun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Jayxun and 1.2 for Yaypan (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jayxun are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Yaypan. This match finished 3-1.

Jayxun vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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