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Suwon FMC W vs Boeun Sangmu W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 20 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 10:00

Suwon FMC W

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boeun Sangmu W

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-15.3%0-21.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.1%1-110.0%1-23.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.4%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.4%3-15.9%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-14.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.7% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 15.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 62% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.3%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon FMC W1.9

Boeun Sangmu W0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON FMC W · PPG 1.89

BOEUN SANGMU W · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Suwon FMC W (H) 61.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boeun Sangmu W (A) 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon FMC W face Boeun Sangmu W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon FMC W a 62% chance, the draw 23% and Boeun Sangmu W 16%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Suwon FMC W and 0.7 for Boeun Sangmu W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon FMC W are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.88 for Boeun Sangmu W.

Suwon FMC W vs Boeun Sangmu W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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