Today / Hibernian W vs Celtic W

Hibernian W vs Celtic W Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Hibernian W

PPG 1.91 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Celtic W

PPG 2.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.91) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.4%0-25.0%0-32.6%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.7%1-110.5%1-28.1%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.5%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.0%3-14.7%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 39.6% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.6%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 1–0 6.7%

#5 2–2✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hibernian W1.6

Celtic W1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HIBERNIAN W · PPG 1.91

CELTIC W · PPG 2.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.91) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.27)

Win probability 1X2

Hibernian W (H) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Celtic W (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hibernian W face Celtic W on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hibernian W a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Celtic W 37%, so Hibernian W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hibernian W and 1.6 for Celtic W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hibernian W are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 2.27 for Celtic W. This match finished 2-2.

Hibernian W vs Celtic W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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