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Rukh U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 09:00

Rukh U19

PPG 1.82 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Karpaty U19

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.2%0-21.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.9%1-16.2%1-23.9%1-31.6%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.8%2-18.6%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.9%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-110.8%4+-26.8%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.0% — — —

Draw 16.0% — — —

Away win 15.0% — — —

Over 2.5 76.7% — — —

Over 3.5 57.3% — — —

BTTS 67.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 81%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.2%

H 69% / xG 2.8-1.3 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 3–0 6.3%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rukh U192.8

Karpaty U191.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.7% · O3.5 PROB 57.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RUKH U19 · PPG 1.82

KARPATY U19 · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.82), Away GOOD (1.58)

Win probability 1X2

Rukh U19 (H) 69.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karpaty U19 (A) 15.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh U19 face Karpaty U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh U19 a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Karpaty U19 15%, so Rukh U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Rukh U19 and 1.3 for Karpaty U19 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh U19 are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.58 for Karpaty U19. This match finished 2-5.

Rukh U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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