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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 10 Olympic Park Stadium· Melbourne Friday, April 24, 2026 09:30
Heidelberg Utd logo Heidelberg Utd PPG 1.25
2-1 HIT CS2
Avondale logo Avondale PPG 1.50
Away· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -12.9%
Draw 23.8%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -15.5%
Away 33.7%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +1.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%
Over 3.5 36.9% Odds: 2.60 -4.1%
BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.53 -6.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Heidelberg Utd
1.64
Avondale
1.44

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away GOOD (1.50)

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