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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 10 Green Gully Reserve· Melbourne Friday, April 24, 2026 09:30
Green Gully logo Green Gully PPG 0.33
0-4 HIT CS5
Preston Lions logo Preston Lions PPG 1.75
Away· +37.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 6.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -75.2%
Draw 15.0%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -46.0%
Away 78.8%
Odds: 1.75 EV: +37.9%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.7% Odds: 1.77 -5.0%
Over 3.5 31.4% Odds: 2.95 -7.4%
BTTS 35.2% Odds: 1.67 -41.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 0-3 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-4 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Green Gully
0.49
Preston Lions
2.33

Model Suggestion

Away +37.9% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.33)

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