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Kazincbarcika vs MTK Budapest Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 31 Diosgyori Stadion· Miskolc Friday, April 24, 2026 18:00
Kazincbarcika logo Kazincbarcika PPG 0.47
0-0 MISS
MTK Budapest logo MTK Budapest PPG 0.79
Over3.5· +29.7% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazincbarcika face MTK Budapest in Hungary - NB I on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazincbarcika a 19% chance, the draw 19% and MTK Budapest 63%, so MTK Budapest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kazincbarcika and 2.4 for MTK Budapest (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazincbarcika are averaging 0.47 points per game versus 0.79 for MTK Budapest. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +29.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -23.7%
Draw 18.6%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -30.3%
Away 62.8%
Odds: 1.73 EV: +8.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.9% Odds: 1.65 +17.0%
Over 3.5 49.9% Odds: 2.60 +29.7%
BTTS 65.2% Odds: 1.57 +2.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-3
4th 0-2
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Kazincbarcika
1.26
MTK Budapest
2.41

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +17.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+29.7%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.47) vs Away POOR (0.79)

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