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Orsomarso W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 20:00

Orsomarso W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-115.4%0-210.5%0-34.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.2%1-112.6%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-03.7%2-15.1%2-23.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.0%3-11.4%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 14.3% 7.00 +41.2%

Draw 26.8% 28.6% 3.50 -3.7%

Away win 49.1% 66.7% 1.50 -26.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 46.5% 2.15 +8.4%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.0% 3.85 +6.3%

BTTS 49.9% 46.5% 2.15 +7.3%

Home O1.5 30.8% 19.0% 5.25 +61.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 56.5% 1.77 -25.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob49.9%

A 49% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.4%

#2 1–1 12.6%

#3 0–0✓ 11.3%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orsomarso W0.8

Deportivo Cali W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ORSOMARSO W · PPG 1.67

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.56

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Orsomarso W (H) 24.1%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +41.2%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.7%

Deportivo Cali W (A) 49.1%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orsomarso W face Deportivo Cali W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orsomarso W a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cali W 49%, so Deportivo Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Orsomarso W and 1.4 for Deportivo Cali W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orsomarso W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.56 for Deportivo Cali W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +61.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Orsomarso W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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