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América de Cali W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 20:30

América de Cali W

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-110.3%0-24.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-113.0%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.6%2-18.2%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.5%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 45.5% 2.20 +4.3%

Draw 27.7% 32.3% 3.10 -8.5%

Away win 24.9% 32.3% 3.10 -13.7%

Over 2.5 44.8% 45.5% 2.20 -1.4%

Over 3.5 26.8% 23.8% 4.20 +7.5%

BTTS 49.2% 52.6% 1.90 -6.5%

Home O1.5 37.2% 42.0% 2.38 -11.5%

Away O1.5 24.3% 32.3% 3.10 -14.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–0 11.9%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

América de Cali W1.3

Deportivo Cali W0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AMÉRICA DE CALI W · PPG 2.25

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 2.13 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

América de Cali W (H) 47.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +4.3%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.5%

Deportivo Cali W (A) 24.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

América de Cali W face Deportivo Cali W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives América de Cali W a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Deportivo Cali W 25%, so América de Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for América de Cali W and 0.9 for Deportivo Cali W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, América de Cali W are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.50 for Deportivo Cali W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 1-2.

América de Cali W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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