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RFC Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:00

RFC Liege U21

PPG 0.60 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RFC Seraing U21

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 7.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.3%0-20.9%0-32.0%0-4+29.4%1 1-00.0%1-10.3%1-21.0%1-32.2%1-4+33.0%2 2-00.0%2-10.2%2-20.6%2-31.3%2-4+18.5%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.2%3-30.5%3-4+6.9%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 0.9% — — —

Draw 1.7% — — —

Away win 97.4% — — —

Over 2.5 98.4% — — —

Over 3.5 95.3% — — —

BTTS 67.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)6.7 BTTS prob67.4%

A 97% / xG 1.1-6.7 / O2.5 98% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–5✓ 5.0%

#2 0–5 4.5%

#3 1–4 3.7%

#4 0–4 3.3%

#5 2–5 2.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RFC Liege U211.1

RFC Seraing U216.7

COMBINED 7.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 98.4% · O3.5 PROB 95.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RFC LIEGE U21 · PPG 0.60

RFC SERAING U21 · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.55) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

RFC Liege U21 (H) 0.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 1.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RFC Seraing U21 (A) 97.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RFC Liege U21 face RFC Seraing U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RFC Liege U21 a 1% chance, the draw 2% and RFC Seraing U21 97%, so RFC Seraing U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for RFC Liege U21 and 6.7 for RFC Seraing U21 (7.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-5. There is a 98% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RFC Liege U21 are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.55 for RFC Seraing U21. This match finished 1-5.

RFC Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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