Today / P. Eisden U21 vs Daring B. U21

P. Eisden U21 vs Daring B. U21 Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

P. Eisden U21
PPG 1.20 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Daring B. U21
PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-15.8%0-27.7%0-36.7%0-4+8.4%1 1-02.6%1-16.9%1-29.0%1-37.9%1-4+9.8%2 2-01.5%2-14.0%2-25.3%2-34.7%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.1%3-31.8%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 14.9%
Draw 16.6%
Away win 68.5%
Over 2.5 73.3%
Over 3.5 52.8%
BTTS 64.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 77%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob64.2%

A 68% / xG 1.2-2.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.0%
#2 1–3 7.9%
#3 0–2 7.7%
#4 1–1 6.9%
#5 0–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Eisden U211.2
Daring B. U212.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 52.8%

Form & verdict PPG

P. EISDEN U21 · PPG 1.20

DARING B. U21 · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

P. Eisden U21 (H) 14.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Daring B. U21 (A) 68.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Eisden U21 face Daring B. U21 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Eisden U21 a 15% chance, the draw 17% and Daring B. U21 69%, so Daring B. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for P. Eisden U21 and 2.6 for Daring B. U21 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Eisden U21 are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.70 for Daring B. U21. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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