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Beerschot U21 vs Lierse K. U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:00

Beerschot U21

PPG 1.70 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lierse K. U21

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.0%0-21.5%0-31.5%0-4+2.3%1 1-00.9%1-12.8%1-24.1%1-34.1%1-4+6.2%2 2-01.3%2-13.8%2-25.6%2-35.5%2-4+8.4%3 3-01.1%3-13.4%3-25.0%3-34.9%3-4+7.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-14.4%4+-26.5%4+-36.4%4+-4+9.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 92.1% — — —

Over 3.5 81.5% — — —

BTTS 88.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob88.4%

A 46% / xG 2.7-3.0 / O2.5 92% / BTTS 88%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 5.6%

#2 2–3 5.5%

#3 3–2 5.0%

#4 3–3 4.9%

#5 1–2 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beerschot U212.7

Lierse K. U213.0

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 92.1% · O3.5 PROB 81.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BEERSCHOT U21 · PPG 1.70

LIERSE K. U21 · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.70), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Beerschot U21 (H) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lierse K. U21 (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beerschot U21 face Lierse K. U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beerschot U21 a 37% chance, the draw 17% and Lierse K. U21 46%, so Lierse K. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Beerschot U21 and 3.0 for Lierse K. U21 (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 88% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beerschot U21 are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.60 for Lierse K. U21. This match finished 2-1.

Beerschot U21 vs Lierse K. U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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