Today / Israel - Liga Leumit / Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda

Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Hapoel Acre

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bnei Yehuda

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-110.2%0-28.6%0-34.8%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.8%1-111.5%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.8%2-16.4%2-25.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.4%3-12.4%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% 16.7% 6.00 +26.0%

Draw 24.1% 26.3% 3.80 -5.1%

Away win 52.0% 66.7% 1.50 -22.0%

Over 2.5 53.8% 52.6% 1.90 +2.2%

Over 3.5 31.7% 30.8% 3.25 +3.0%

BTTS 52.9% 51.3% 1.95 +3.1%

Home O1.5 31.1% 23.1% 4.33 +34.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 59.9% 1.67 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 15%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.9%

A 52% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.6%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hapoel Acre1.1

Bnei Yehuda1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HAPOEL ACRE · PPG 1.07

BNEI YEHUDA · PPG 1.73

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Hapoel Acre (H) 23.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +26.0%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.1%

Bnei Yehuda (A) 52.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hapoel Acre face Bnei Yehuda in Israel - Liga Leumit on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hapoel Acre a 24% chance, the draw 24% and Bnei Yehuda 52%, so Bnei Yehuda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hapoel Acre and 1.7 for Bnei Yehuda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hapoel Acre are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.73 for Bnei Yehuda. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +34.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Match Preview & Prediction

More Israel - Liga Leumit Predictions