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Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Acre Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Kafr Qasim

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LWL ··

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Hapoel Acre

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-110.9%0-26.1%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.7%1-113.2%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.1%2-18.0%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.9%3-13.2%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 34.7% 2.88 +4.3%

Draw 33.9% 32.3% 3.10 +5.1%

Away win 29.9% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

Over 2.5 44.1% 45.5% 2.20 -3.0%

Over 3.5 25.6% 23.8% 4.20 +4.5%

BTTS 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

Home O1.5 32.6% 34.5% 2.90 -5.5%

Away O1.5 35.6% 40.0% 2.50 -11.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 15%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.2%

D 34% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kafr Qasim1.2

Hapoel Acre1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KAFR QASIM · PPG 1.21

HAPOEL ACRE · PPG 1.17

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kafr Qasim (H) 36.2%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +4.3%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +5.1%

Hapoel Acre (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kafr Qasim face Hapoel Acre in Israel - Liga Leumit on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kafr Qasim a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Hapoel Acre 30%, so Kafr Qasim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kafr Qasim and 1.1 for Hapoel Acre (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kafr Qasim are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.17 for Hapoel Acre. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.4%. This match finished 4-0.

Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Acre Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Match Preview & Prediction

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