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Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Ra'anana Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Maccabi Herzliya

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Hapoel Ra'anana

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.9%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.7%2-18.4%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 52.4% 1.91 -26.7%

Draw 32.7% 30.8% 3.25 +6.3%

Away win 28.9% 27.4% 3.65 +3.3%

Over 2.5 44.8% 50.0% 2.00 -10.4%

Over 3.5 26.7% 28.6% 3.50 -3.9%

BTTS 49.1% 55.6% 1.80 -11.6%

Home O1.5 37.8% 50.0% 2.00 -24.4%

Away O1.5 35.5% 32.3% 3.10 +10.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 15%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.1%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Maccabi Herzliya1.3

Hapoel Ra'anana1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MACCABI HERZLIYA · PPG 1.58

HAPOEL RA'ANANA · PPG 1.46

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Maccabi Herzliya (H) 38.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -26.7%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +6.3%

Hapoel Ra'anana (A) 28.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +3.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Maccabi Herzliya face Hapoel Ra'anana in Israel - Liga Leumit on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maccabi Herzliya a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Hapoel Ra'anana 29%, so Maccabi Herzliya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Maccabi Herzliya and 1.1 for Hapoel Ra'anana (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maccabi Herzliya are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.46 for Hapoel Ra'anana. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 2-3.

Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Ra'anana Prediction— Israel - Liga Leumit

Match Preview & Prediction

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