Today / MVV Maastricht vs TOP Oss
MVV Maastricht vs TOP Oss Prediction
Friday, April 24, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.11)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 44% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%
Form & verdict
MVV MAASTRICHT · PPG 1.28
TOP OSS · PPG 1.11
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.11)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
MVV Maastricht face TOP Oss on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MVV Maastricht a 32% chance, the draw 23% and TOP Oss 45%, so TOP Oss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for MVV Maastricht and 1.7 for TOP Oss (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MVV Maastricht are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.11 for TOP Oss. This match finished 0-2.