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Defensores de Cambaceres vs Deportivo Paraguayo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 21:30

Defensores de Cambaceres

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Paraguayo

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-110.5%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.5%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.9%2-17.5%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 46.5% 2.15 +3.0%

Draw 28.0% 35.7% 2.80 -13.0%

Away win 24.1% 29.4% 3.40 -10.8%

Over 2.5 37.8% 36.4% 2.75 +4.0%

Over 3.5 19.5% 18.2% 5.50 +4.3%

BTTS 46.2% 42.0% 2.38 +10.0%

Home O1.5 32.2% 36.4% 2.75 -11.5%

Away O1.5 18.2% 23.1% 4.33 -12.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.2%

#2 0–0✓ 15.2%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Defensores de Cambaceres1.2

Deportivo Paraguayo0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DEFENSORES DE CAMBACERES · PPG 1.08

DEPORTIVO PARAGUAYO · PPG 0.92

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Defensores de Cambaceres (H) 47.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +3.0%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -13.0%

Deportivo Paraguayo (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Defensores de Cambaceres face Deportivo Paraguayo in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensores de Cambaceres a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Deportivo Paraguayo 24%, so Defensores de Cambaceres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Defensores de Cambaceres and 0.7 for Deportivo Paraguayo (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensores de Cambaceres are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.92 for Deportivo Paraguayo. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +12.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Defensores de Cambaceres vs Deportivo Paraguayo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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