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Eimsbutteler vs Victoria H. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 32 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:45

Eimsbutteler

PPG 2.36 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Victoria H.

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.7%0-24.5%0-33.7%0-4+4.1%1 1-02.6%1-16.4%1-27.9%1-36.4%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.3%3-13.3%3-24.0%3-33.3%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.6%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 53.5% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 60.4% — — —

BTTS 75.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob75.4%

A 54% / xG 1.7-2.5 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–3 6.4%

#4 1–1 6.4%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eimsbutteler1.7

Victoria H.2.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 60.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EIMSBUTTELER · PPG 2.36

VICTORIA H. · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.36), Away EXCELLENT (2.23)

Win probability 1X2

Eimsbutteler (H) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Victoria H. (A) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eimsbutteler face Victoria H. in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eimsbutteler a 27% chance, the draw 19% and Victoria H. 54%, so Victoria H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Eimsbutteler and 2.5 for Victoria H. (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eimsbutteler are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 2.23 for Victoria H.. This match finished 3-3.

Eimsbutteler vs Victoria H. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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