Today / S. Hauzenberg vs Ismaning

S. Hauzenberg vs Ismaning Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

S. Hauzenberg
PPG 1.23 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ismaning
PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-19.2%0-27.8%0-34.5%0-4+2.8%1 1-06.5%1-111.2%1-29.5%1-35.4%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.0%2-16.8%2-25.8%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.2%
Draw 23.9%
Away win 48.9%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Over 3.5 33.5%
BTTS 57.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob57.5%

A 49% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 1–2 9.5%
#3 0–1 9.2%
#4 0–2 7.8%
#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Hauzenberg1.2
Ismaning1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

S. HAUZENBERG · PPG 1.23

ISMANING · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

S. Hauzenberg (H) 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ismaning (A) 48.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Hauzenberg face Ismaning on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Hauzenberg a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Ismaning 49%, so Ismaning are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for S. Hauzenberg and 1.7 for Ismaning (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Hauzenberg are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.71 for Ismaning.

PredictVantage

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