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Suderelbe vs Niendorfer TSV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 32 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:30

Suderelbe

PPG 1.57 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Niendorfer TSV

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.8%0-24.4%0-34.6%0-4+7.8%1 1-01.4%1-14.4%1-26.9%1-37.3%1-4+12.4%2 2-01.1%2-13.5%2-25.5%2-35.8%2-4+9.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.9%3-22.9%3-33.0%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-11.0%4+-21.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.6% — — —

Draw 15.1% — — —

Away win 68.3% — — —

Over 2.5 85.0% — — —

Over 3.5 69.3% — — —

BTTS 76.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob76.0%

A 68% / xG 1.6-3.1 / O2.5 85% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.3%

#2 1–2 6.9%

#3 2–3 5.8%

#4 1–4 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suderelbe1.6

Niendorfer TSV3.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 85.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDERELBE · PPG 1.57

NIENDORFER TSV · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

Suderelbe (H) 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Niendorfer TSV (A) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suderelbe face Niendorfer TSV in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suderelbe a 17% chance, the draw 15% and Niendorfer TSV 68%, so Niendorfer TSV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Suderelbe and 3.1 for Niendorfer TSV (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suderelbe are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.45 for Niendorfer TSV. This match finished 4-4.

Suderelbe vs Niendorfer TSV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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