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Quilmes vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 22:00

Quilmes

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Temperley

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.6%0-110.7%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.9%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.3%2-16.6%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 52.4% 1.91 -13.3%

Draw 31.5% 33.9% 2.95 -7.1%

Away win 23.1% 24.4% 4.10 -3.2%

Over 2.5 36.3% 38.5% 2.60 -5.6%

Over 3.5 18.0% 18.2% 5.50 -0.6%

BTTS 43.7% 46.5% 2.15 -6.0%

Home O1.5 30.9% 42.6% 2.35 -27.4%

Away O1.5 15.9% 23.1% 4.33 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob43.7%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 18.6%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 0–1✓ 10.7%

#5 2–0 11.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quilmes1.1

Temperley0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

QUILMES · PPG 1.92

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Quilmes (H) 45.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -13.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -7.1%

Temperley (A) 23.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -3.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Quilmes face Temperley in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quilmes a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Temperley 23%, so Quilmes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Quilmes and 0.6 for Temperley (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quilmes are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.23 for Temperley. This match finished 0-1.

Quilmes vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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