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Stourbridge vs Needham Market Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 30 War Memorial Athletic Ground· Stourbridge, West Midlands Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Stourbridge logo Stourbridge PPG 1.21
0-1 HIT CS2
Needham Market logo Needham Market PPG 1.21
Home· +14.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stourbridge face Needham Market in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stourbridge a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Needham Market 38%, so Needham Market are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stourbridge and 1.4 for Needham Market (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stourbridge are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Needham Market. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +14.4%
Draw 25.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -18.4%
Away 37.6%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -24.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: —
BTTS 55.9% Odds: 1.62 -9.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Stourbridge
1.37
Needham Market
1.39

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+14.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -10.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org