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Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:00

Atletico Mitre

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Central Norte

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-18.9%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.9%1-111.8%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.5%2-17.8%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.5%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 41.2% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 44.2% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 294 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.9%

#2 0–0 14.2%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 12.5%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Mitre1.3

Central Norte0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO MITRE · PPG 1.46

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Mitre (H) 47.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Norte (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Mitre face Central Norte in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Mitre a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Central Norte 24%, so Atletico Mitre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atletico Mitre and 0.6 for Central Norte (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Mitre are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.69 for Central Norte. This match finished 2-2.

Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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