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Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami Orhei Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:00

Dacia-Buiucani

PPG 1.12 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Milsami Orhei

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.7%0-24.7%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.7%1-111.9%1-27.3%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.1%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.8%3-14.7%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 34.5% 2.90 +30.8%

Draw 25.4% 30.3% 3.30 -9.7%

Away win 29.5% 46.5% 2.15 -21.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 50.0% 2.00 +7.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 30.5% 3.28 +3.3%

BTTS 54.6% 57.8% 1.73 -5.5%

Home O1.5 42.5% 36.8% 2.72 +15.6%

Away O1.5 36.6% 45.0% 2.22 -18.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dacia-Buiucani1.5

Milsami Orhei1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DACIA-BUIUCANI · PPG 1.12

MILSAMI ORHEI · PPG 0.99

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dacia-Buiucani (H) 45.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +30.8%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.7%

Milsami Orhei (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -21.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dacia-Buiucani face Milsami Orhei in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dacia-Buiucani a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Milsami Orhei 30%, so Dacia-Buiucani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dacia-Buiucani and 1.2 for Milsami Orhei (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dacia-Buiucani are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.99 for Milsami Orhei. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +32.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami Orhei Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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