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Sireți vs Dacia-Buiucani Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Matchday 9 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:00

Sireți

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dacia-Buiucani

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.3%0-24.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.0%1-112.3%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.1%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.0%3-14.5%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% 28.6% 3.50 +63.4%

Draw 25.0% 28.6% 3.50 -7.5%

Away win 28.3% 54.1% 1.85 -28.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 52.6% 1.90 +1.7%

Over 3.5 30.9% 32.9% 3.04 -6.1%

BTTS 54.7% 59.2% 1.69 -7.6%

Home O1.5 40.0% 34.6% 2.89 +15.6%

Away O1.5 35.6% 51.3% 1.95 -30.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.7%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.0%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 2–0 8.2%

#5 0–0✓ 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sireți1.5

Dacia-Buiucani1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SIREȚI · PPG 1.48

DACIA-BUIUCANI · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sireți (H) 46.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +63.4%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.5%

Dacia-Buiucani (A) 28.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -28.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sireți face Dacia-Buiucani in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sireți a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Dacia-Buiucani 28%, so Sireți are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sireți and 1.1 for Dacia-Buiucani (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sireți are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.17 for Dacia-Buiucani. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +19.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Sireți vs Dacia-Buiucani Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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