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Dacia-Buiucani vs Petrocub Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Matchday 8 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 17:00

Dacia-Buiucani

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Petrocub

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-19.6%0-29.6%0-36.5%0-4+5.2%1 1-04.9%1-19.9%1-210.0%1-36.7%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.5%2-15.1%2-25.1%2-33.5%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.8%3-31.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 55.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -47.4%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob54.5%

A 55% / xG 1.0-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 10.0%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 0–1 9.6%

#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dacia-Buiucani1.0

Petrocub2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DACIA-BUIUCANI · PPG 0.88

PETROCUB · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.98 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Dacia-Buiucani (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petrocub (A) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dacia-Buiucani face Petrocub in Moldova - Super Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dacia-Buiucani a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Petrocub 55%, so Petrocub are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dacia-Buiucani and 2.0 for Petrocub (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dacia-Buiucani are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.80 for Petrocub.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Petrocub Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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