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Weiden vs Eltersdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 31 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Weiden

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Eltersdorf

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.3%0-26.5%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.7%1-112.2%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.7%2-18.0%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.5%3-13.5%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 25.7% — — —

Away win 39.2% — — —

Over 2.5 51.1% — — —

Over 3.5 29.0% — — —

BTTS 55.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.2%

A 39% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 8.7%

#4 1–2 8.6%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Weiden1.3

Eltersdorf1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WEIDEN · PPG 1.50

ELTERSDORF · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Weiden (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eltersdorf (A) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Weiden face Eltersdorf in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weiden a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Eltersdorf 39%, so Eltersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Weiden and 1.4 for Eltersdorf (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weiden are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.14 for Eltersdorf. This match finished 0-0.

Weiden vs Eltersdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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